Reboot Alberta

Saturday, September 29, 2007

EnCana Cash Flow up 55% to over $2.5B at June 2007

A quick check on Google Finance shows EnCana (ECA) reported in the 2ndQtr2007 it had a cash flow of $2.5B or $3.33 per share up 55%. At the same time it was enjoying a Net Profit Margin or 25.76%, an Operating Margin of 32.25% and an Average Return on Equity of 32.85% Very impressive. Third Qtr results are scheduled to be released on October 25. I can't wait how much more they are hurting that they can't take a mere 8% royalty increase on that 25.76% NET PROFIT MARGIN.

EnCana saber rattled this past week about reducing investment in Alberta by $1B in 2008 because of the “Our Fair Share” Royalty Review Report. Ironically the management at EnCana was telling a different story at a Peters and Co investor’s conference in Toronto a week earlier. Here is an EnCana quote from Mr. Graham president of EnCana's Foothills division in a September 11, 2007 National Post story:
"Our budget will probably be very similar to what it was in 2007, maybe a little bit higher…" "Costs have been moving down in Canada, probably flat or even better than that,"…"The rig fleet is probably only 40% busy today. We are happy to see where costs are going."

Now I wonder how EnCana can square that circle of impressive performance in the face of low gas prices and higher operating costs already in place and accounted for in their impressive results with the sudden need to cut $1B from their 2008 capital budget a week later. Can this threat be interpreted in any other way except to say it is posturing and intimidation.

The Editorial Board of the Calgary Herald from a city that is smack dab in the eye of the Alberta economic storm, is the voice or reason and responsibility today too. Slowing down Alberta a bit is a necessity and the marketplace is doing it but that is no reason not to increase the citizens fair share of their resource revenues now too.

Could it be the drilling contractors woes outlined in their recent news release on the “Our Fair Share Royalty Review” are self induced and market driven and not really about possible government policy at all?

For the record it was someone at Peters and Co. who sent an email to their client’s in response to the “Our Fair Share Royalty Review” suggesting Alberta was like Venezuela. A comment that was kindly considered as “over the top.”

4 comments:

  1. Anonymous1:21 pm

    I guess as over the top as "leave it in the damn ground" as uttered by Alberta energy czar Bill Hunter

    ReplyDelete
  2. If we are talking gas, and I presume we are, if the market price is uneconomic, the drilling costs are out of line, the exchange rate is a barrier and the exploration risks are too high...the prudent business decision is leave it in the damn ground until it makes sound business, as well as environmental and societal sense.

    Let the market decide. Remember royalties are only on profits so therefore I as an Albertan owner of the resource don't want unprofitable enterprises in the energy sector.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous3:58 pm

    So you are saying that Alberta as a matter of fiscal policy should discourage high cost, deep gas drilling in a mature WCSB by increasing the royalty take. On the other hand, cheap, low productivity wells should be encouraged.

    I assume you are aware that deep gas drilling encourages innovation and value added within the natural gas sector. That's the wave of the future in the natural gas sector whether you realize it or not.

    What is your opinion on the OSST? It is tax on gross revenues, not profit.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anon @ 3:58 - actually the Our Fair Share Report says reduce the royalty on such low producing wells...doesn't it?

    Explain the deep well innovation please. Do they improve well productivity by reducing costs and incresing outpuyt and enhance the environment? Those are the important innovations.

    OSST is a gross wellhead tax. Nothing to do with royalities. It only kicks in at $40 oil It is 1% escalating tax that maxes out at 9% when oil hits $120.

    As a citizen who owns the resource I am prepared to share the risk of volatile prices with a producer. I expect to also share in the rewards of volatile comodity prices.

    You got a problem with that? Go to the real Venezuela.

    ReplyDelete

Anonymous comments are discouraged. If you have something to say, the rest of us have to know who you are